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Universal Technical Institute Reports Strong Q4, Stock Soars

Alice by Alice
2025-02-06
in News
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Stocks5 (2)

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Universal Technical Institute (NYSE: UTI) announced impressive results for the fourth quarter of CY2024, surpassing market expectations. The company reported a 15.3% increase in year-on-year sales, reaching $201.4 million. Its full-year revenue guidance of $815 million exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1.2%. The company also posted a GAAP profit of $0.40 per share, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate.

Q4 CY2024 Performance Highlights

Revenue: $201.4 million, exceeding analyst estimates of $193.9 million (15.3% year-on-year growth, 3.9% beat).

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EPS (GAAP): $0.40, beating analyst expectations of $0.18.

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Adjusted EBITDA: $35.51 million, surpassing the estimated $25.53 million (17.6% margin, 39.1% beat).

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Revenue Guidance: Full-year revenue guidance raised to $815 million, up from $807.5 million.

EPS Guidance: Full-year EPS guidance of $1 at the midpoint, 3.1% above analyst estimates.

EBITDA Guidance: Full-year EBITDA guidance of $124 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $121.6 million.

Additionally, the company reported a 13.6% operating margin, up from 8.1% last year, and a free cash flow margin of 9.7%, up from 4% during the same quarter last year.

Strong New Student Enrollment

Universal Technical Institute welcomed 5,313 new students in Q4, marking a 967-student increase compared to the previous year. This growth reflects the company’s ability to attract students, which is a critical indicator of its ongoing success.

CEO Statement on Q4 Results

CEO Jerome Grant commented, “In the first quarter of 2025, we continued to deliver on our growth, diversification, and optimization strategy, leading to outperformance across our key financial and operational metrics.”

Company Overview

Founded in 1965, Universal Technical Institute (UTI) is a leading provider of technical training programs. The company specializes in training automotive, diesel, collision repair, motorcycle, and marine technicians.

Education Services and Industry Outlook

As the cost of traditional education rises, alternative education paths, such as those offered by Universal Technical Institute, have become more popular. These options, which often feature flexible schedules or online courses, provide accessible education for individuals balancing work or family obligations. However, there are concerns about the value of these degrees and certifications, which could impact student retention and invite regulatory scrutiny.

Sales Growth and Long-Term Performance

Universal Technical Institute has demonstrated solid growth over the past five years, with a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.7%. This performance is slightly above the average growth of consumer discretionary companies. Over the last two years, the company’s revenue growth accelerated with an annualized growth rate of 32.3%, suggesting increasing demand for its services.

New student enrollment has been a key driver of this growth. In Q4, the company welcomed 5,313 new students, a 48.8% increase year-over-year over the last two years. However, as student numbers grew, revenue growth showed signs of deceleration, which may indicate that monetization efficiency is declining.

Future Revenue Growth and Market Outlook

Looking ahead, analysts project revenue growth of 8.6% for Universal Technical Institute over the next 12 months. This projection represents a slowdown compared to the company’s recent performance and suggests that the company may face challenges in maintaining its rapid growth.

Cash Flow and Profitability

Free cash flow is an important metric for evaluating a company’s financial health. Universal Technical Institute’s free cash flow margin was 9.7% in Q4, a significant improvement from 4% in the same quarter last year. However, the company has faced weak cash profitability over the last two years, limiting its ability to return capital to shareholders.

Over the next year, analysts predict that Universal Technical Institute’s free cash flow margin will decrease to 7.2%. Despite the strong short-term performance, long-term trends will play a more significant role in the company’s overall financial stability.

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